WEBVTT

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Music.

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Welcome to the edition podcast it was so-called up front week last week which

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is when a load of tv people go and tell a load of advertisers why they should

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give tv people their money,

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isn't that right mark stembird from that week hello hello yeah i think that's

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the most succinct way of describing it that i've ever heard perfect great we'll

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see you all next week thank you so

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much um no you spent a lot of your week as i understand it last week in dark auditoriums,

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listening to television execs as i say talk to

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advertisers yes and

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you know there are worse ways to spend your week it's not an office

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there is uh typically some sort of

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coffee or table snack provided okay

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let's pause on this important moment who provided

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you with the best snacks please i it

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so it's not apples to apples uh as

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it were uh because sometimes the presentation would be

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in the morning so then it's coffee whereas like the

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ones i went to in the evening they'll follow with sort of canapé and uh and

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uh some cocktails but i would say disney disney had the best best spread disney

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had the best spread okay that's very important um what else did you gather from

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the week i've got a few key things i want to ask you about but what were your

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takeaways away apart from putting food in your pocket?

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Yeah, I mean, it was fascinating. I think for upfronts, it was a big week of bursts and novelty.

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And as you and I were just saying, so much news was broken in sort of a five day span.

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Just the timing of this thing where it's like you have all these storylines

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swirling around the CTV space.

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And then those just happen to culminate during this week where you have a flood

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of marketers come into the city and everybody's in the same room.

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And all the reporters are speaking with all the executives. And so you You just

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have this real, just like sort of big bang of news coming out.

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I would say the main storylines are

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this was really the first year where streaming was the bell of the ball.

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I mean, I worked with the Interactive Advertising Bureau on a story last week,

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and this is 2024 marks the first year that more ad spend will be going to streaming

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than will be going to linear.

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So this is officially the sort of the inflection point year, at least in the US.

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I want to pause on that because that's a really significant moment in one,

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because it shows that the streamers now have enough ad tech and people paying

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for those ad supported tiers that it's worth the advertisers putting serious money into.

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And secondly, it just shows the sort of death spiral that the linear broadcast

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are really getting into, doesn't it?

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It does. It absolutely does. I think that for your first point,

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I mean, we could do a whole podcast on this, the difference between linear and streaming.

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It's so interesting because there's kind of a parallel between,

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obviously I come and I cover like the newspaper and magazine world.

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So there's sort of an analogy between print newspapers and digital newspapers,

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but those are fundamentally different products, different mediums.

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Whereas with digital and linear, you're really getting a pretty similar product

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in terms of the content that you're consuming.

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You're consuming it maybe on the same screen that you would watch linear TV on.

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The primary differences for an advertiser is the ad targeting capabilities,

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which are way better in CTV than they are in linear.

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So there's not a lot of inhibition for, for streamers. I mean,

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it's a new space, there's fragmentation problems, et cetera,

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but I don't think anyone's really dragging their feet.

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There's really this sense of as soon as the linear carpet is ready,

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or sorry, as soon as the The streaming carpet is ready to be rolled out.

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Advertisers are down to walk it.

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So it's moving pretty quickly. And the one thing, as I'm sure we're going to

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talk about, that's really kind of propping linear up and impeding that transition is sports,

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which remain still, by and large, a property of linear television,

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although it's pretty 50-50 at this point.

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That was another massive thing. Brackets for now.

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Yeah, exactly. Because the game, I was going to say the game is changing,

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excuse the pun, but, you know, stuff is changing in that space.

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And I've written about it. You know, it's one of my favourite topics and we

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will definitely come on to it.

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The other topic I wanted to talk about, and you've sort of led us nicely to

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it, is I've heard other podcasts on this as well, is how the tech companies

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are now such a big part of this week.

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It's no longer just the traditional TV studios, very far from it.

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You know, there's now a huge YouTube event Brandcast during Upfront's weeks

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You know, Amazon, Apple All these companies are,

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Did Apple do something? They are all part of this week now, aren't they?

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You'd have to Google. I'm not actually, I don't know that Apple did something.

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They might have. Well, I suppose they don't really have the ad platform anywhere

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apart from when they're doing Major League Baseball.

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But the point is these tech companies are a huge part of this week now.

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Yeah. And it's kind of funny because as we were just saying,

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I've been covering this space for a bit, but this is my first proper upfronts

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week. I've been to New Fronts before, which are almost exclusively the domain

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of technology companies. Explain the difference.

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New Fronts were for companies that had video advertising that were not traditional television companies.

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And so like at this last week at New Fronts, like I went to Roku had a presentation

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and Spotify did its first ever New Front.

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So way more tech oriented, whereas upfronts were historically historically,

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the domain of proper linear television companies.

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And this year, I think, is where the walls came down on that division.

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When I was following the news, it really felt like that.

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Yeah. Well, it's just funny because to me, I feel like as somebody who's like,

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and probably most of your listeners, how have you been watching television in the last five years?

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I would imagine there's been a fair element of streaming in it.

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So the division of like up fronts is for

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linear and new fronts is for streaming to

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me feels like really almost outdated all the

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hullabaloo of oh this is the first year where amazon's in

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the new fronts and netflix isn't or sorry in the up fronts and netflix

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is in the up fronts it's like oh about time like

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it's kind of overdue to a degree like i've

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been consuming those like tv for years of course you have and

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it feels like a nonsense and especially now that some of those

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streaming services are doing more and more live things i.e linear

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television yeah exactly the

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the distinction is a nonsense now yeah i

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mean i guess i should say with something like netflix of course they

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only introduced ads in 2022 so that was you

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know maybe of course that makes sense that they were holding off but prior

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to that all the other streamers any of them that had ads i

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mean this i guess that's probably the larger story even above

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all of this is the introduction of ads to the.

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Streaming service services and how that

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has changed the landscape because now effectively if

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you're an ad buyer peacock is competitive with

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prime is competitive with paramount is

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competitive with netflix so it the the playing

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field is competitive with abc is competitive with cnn

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is competitive with etc etc etc there's

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more people asking for your money now if you're an advertiser um

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but just on this merging of tech and media which of course is the whole point

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of this show the whole point of the edition in broadly where do you think this

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was one of the first years where the advertisers have really given up trying to differentiate.

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Oh, good question. I would say not quite, right?

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Because like you go to any of these streaming, I'm sorry, you go to any of these,

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the terminology is also muddled now.

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You go to a linear, like, let's say NBC Universal.

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I went to their upfront. They obviously have Peacock, but they have a bunch

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of linear TV channels as well.

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The fact that they still have linear is an advantage to them compared to a Netflix.

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Because how is Netflix going to reach anybody?

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You know what I mean? I mean, it's an obvious sort of distinction to make,

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but Netflix can only reach you if you are streaming. It can't reach you if you

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have a cable subscription.

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So Peacock and Paramount, all these companies that have both,

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can still pitch Disney, obviously being another one, can pitch them having both

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as a massive advantage. And it frankly is.

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So, I mean, that's why it's... But all these marketers, I think,

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are trying to look into the future and say, what direction does this go in?

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Linear is circling the drain.

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So we don't want to invest too much in some sort of big linear proposition.

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Yet at this moment and this year and maybe next year and maybe the next year,

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linear is still going to have some relevance.

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So it does make sense that they're not fully collapsing all the boundaries between it.

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And you can reach tens of millions of hundreds of millions of people on linear

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that you still can't reach on streaming.

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So it's still good to have both, I think. Yeah. And I guess also,

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if you'll say NBC Universal,

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you can go, okay, so there's less people watching our TV networks,

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but the younger people, the people you really care about have already moved

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over to Peacock. So you still want to give us your money.

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Yeah, exactly. And the older people that make more money are still watching cable.

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So I mean, which, again, nominally, the streamers don't have as much access to.

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Again, how long that's relevant is a matter of debate.

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But at this moment in 2024, it's a good position to be able to say we can offer you both.

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And so I think marketers are still making that distinction. distinction

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let's jump to netflix because they obviously everyone's been

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really interested in how their ad tier

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performs as you say it's only been going since 2022 um it

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seems to me to be going quite well they're now at per that uh up front's week

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40 million global monthly active users on that tier that's not to be sniffed

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that yeah that's up i think in 8x improvement from from, I think,

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just last year when it was 5 million.

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So, and it's double, well, it's double. I'm reading, I've got an NBC News article

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up here. It was 23 million in January.

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Yeah. And the other stat they keep trotting out is 40% of all new subscribers

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are subscribing to the ad tier.

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So there's growth there. You'd have to look at the numbers.

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I still think that that makes Netflix a small ad tier by comparison and to the

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other streamers with add-tos, right?

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So it's nascent, it's growing, but it's still kind of minuscule compared to the others.

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I think I was thinking about it just before we got on this call,

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the Amazon Prime strategy or the Prime Video strategy of, okay,

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everybody who has Prime Video, now you watch ads, unless you want to pay $3 more, then it's no ads.

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I wonder if to what degree Netflix is bandying about that proposition.

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Can I just say, I have mentioned it on this show.

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I don't know if I sent you an angry email. I may well have done.

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How outrageous what Amazon did with Prime Video.

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You can't just, I mean, it feels like a complete breaking of the contract between

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customers and company to do that.

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Maybe actually, I think I said it on the Daily 10 News show, actually.

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This is just so outrageous because we all took on streaming.

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We knew we'd have to pay slightly more and that

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means you didn't have your programming interrupted by

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advertising now i have to say i have zero problem with advertising i love adverts

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particularly when you buy them on this show hi um i have no problem i'm happy

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to listen to content and watch content that has adverts and i you know i'm happy

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for that as a payoff between it being cheaper it being free, whatever.

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I don't mind that. But these places, Prime Video included, charged a premium

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on the premise you would not watch adverts.

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And that seems to have been completely

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broken. I think Netflix introduced that ad to in a far better way.

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Yeah, for a consumer perspective, absolutely. For an advertiser perspective.

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They're kind of wondering, you know, why Netflix doesn't try the Amazon approach.

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I completely agree with you, though. And this sort of I feel like sometimes

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in these upfronts weeks,

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there needs to be like a representative that that voices the concerns of consumers

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at every like one of these panels and says like, but wait a minute,

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what about when you said no ads or like another price hike or how am I supposed

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to watch all these sports or like whatever the case is?

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Because there's such a discrepancy between conversations you

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have with marketers where they're like the more people watching ads the

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better etc and then the conversations you have

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with normal people or even those even those marketers when they're thinking

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as consumers where it's just like yeah this is uh this is ridiculous i was just

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talking with my parents last night about how many different services you have

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to subscribe to to watch all the sports that you want um so i do think and that

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leads to maybe the other macro theme of this last week which was

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bundling i would say it's probably like first time up

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front uh sports and

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bundling i would say are the main main three themes from last week let's do

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bundling and then we'll go on to sports what was your impression of this all

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this talk about bundling because it's happened a lot yeah i none of the proposed

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bundles have released prices yet as far as i know so we're all sort

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of speculating as to what sort of savings they will create,

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but I think it is a very logical idea.

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Consumers are clamoring for it. The streaming services need to,

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for the most part, consolidate a little bit, just because there's too many things

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that people are expected to pay.

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And there are some of these third, fourth, fifth, sixth tier streaming services

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that don't really have any hope of standing on their own two feet.

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It makes a lot of sense for them to combine forces.

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But there's the Disney one, isn't there? There's one that involves Disney.

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There's it's disney hulu and max is

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one of the bundles that was announced and then

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the other one stream saver is netflix peacock

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and apple um and then of course you have the newly christened venue which that's

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the sports service yeah and if you talk to anyone involved there they'll say

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it's not a bundle it is a mvpd which

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i had to familiarize myself with um Translate that to English for us.

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It's a multi-channel video programming distributor.

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Oh, shut up. It's a bundle.

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I have to get a little bit more familiar with exactly how they're different.

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But it effectively is acting more akin to a cable subscription or a virtual

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MVPD than it is a bundle per se.

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But, you know, colloquially, they're similar concepts.

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Yeah uh just to say as well while we're talking about ad

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tiers we said netflix is up to 40 million on its ad tier

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the peak comcast said peacock was at 34 million

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subscribers so the netflix ad tier on its

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own is bigger than peacock there you go it was kind of fascinating um i suppose

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peacock brings us nicely to sports because it had that huge day when it had

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the nfl playoff game all All the data suggests that people have hung around since that,

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which proves a topic you and I have discussed before, which is how important

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sports is as a gateway drug.

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We've obviously got the NBA. We were talking about the NBA playoffs from the

00:16:12.231 --> 00:16:13.491
weekend. I'm so sorry for your loss.

00:16:15.271 --> 00:16:18.671
And, you know, those rights are up for grabs, aren't they?

00:16:18.771 --> 00:16:23.751
And it's general consensus now that one of the streamers is going to take at

00:16:23.751 --> 00:16:24.851
least one of the packages.

00:16:25.471 --> 00:16:30.131
I saw we had Roger Goodall, didn't we, the head of the NFL, turn up at one of

00:16:30.131 --> 00:16:32.871
the presentations. Was that YouTube he turned up at, I think?

00:16:34.069 --> 00:16:38.169
That could be the case. I missed that. Yeah, I think he turned up a YouTube

00:16:38.169 --> 00:16:43.749
brand cast because obviously YouTube TV has all the Sunday ticket stuff now.

00:16:44.469 --> 00:16:47.969
It's just becoming a huge part of the streaming ecosystem, isn't it?

00:16:48.849 --> 00:16:54.869
It is. And it's fascinating seeing all this jockeying, especially for the NBA rights packages.

00:16:55.109 --> 00:16:57.869
There's three of them. Two of them have basically been claimed. named

00:16:57.869 --> 00:17:01.669
the middle one the tier b is sort

00:17:01.669 --> 00:17:04.589
of in the midst of a tug of war i think right now between

00:17:04.589 --> 00:17:07.629
comcast and warner brothers discovery um and

00:17:07.629 --> 00:17:11.609
i guess smart sources are saying comcast is

00:17:11.609 --> 00:17:14.469
is the the likelier contender there but i think

00:17:14.469 --> 00:17:17.249
all of this underscores the larger theme which is that

00:17:17.249 --> 00:17:20.749
streamers are trying to get their hands on sports rights um

00:17:20.749 --> 00:17:23.509
across the board i mean it's crazy roku who just signed this

00:17:23.509 --> 00:17:26.529
mlb deal people are coming up with sports

00:17:26.529 --> 00:17:29.389
that americans are hardly watching at all

00:17:29.389 --> 00:17:32.209
and these streaming services are trying to get them such as

00:17:32.209 --> 00:17:34.989
under i think i read something about you know

00:17:34.989 --> 00:17:38.029
rugby and like not formula one but like

00:17:38.029 --> 00:17:41.249
grand prix and like just you

00:17:41.249 --> 00:17:44.069
know grand prixs are in formula one

00:17:44.069 --> 00:17:47.029
but that could be okay then a different a different kind of racing

00:17:47.029 --> 00:17:50.029
anyway okay that's not nascar it's not f1

00:17:50.029 --> 00:17:53.109
and anyway um could be formulated the

00:17:53.109 --> 00:17:56.109
electronic cars one maybe it's all these

00:17:56.109 --> 00:17:59.129
esoteric sports i mean anything because so i

00:17:59.129 --> 00:18:05.149
think there's a nice tie in here because the whole genesis of upfronts was that

00:18:05.149 --> 00:18:11.209
advertising inventory on linear streaming channels linear channels used to be

00:18:11.209 --> 00:18:16.009
scarce right there was a finite amount of it with streaming streaming,

00:18:16.009 --> 00:18:17.949
that scarcity basically disappears.

00:18:18.169 --> 00:18:22.389
People can watch whatever, whenever, and however many millions of people can

00:18:22.389 --> 00:18:25.009
watch it. So you theoretically never sell out, right?

00:18:25.129 --> 00:18:27.789
The exception to that is still sports.

00:18:28.049 --> 00:18:32.449
And so that's one of the primary reasons why sports have been so popular is

00:18:32.449 --> 00:18:33.949
because there's still a scarce resource.

00:18:34.229 --> 00:18:37.049
That's item one. And then the other component of their popularity,

00:18:37.329 --> 00:18:39.869
I was speaking with the source who was like, this doesn't get enough attention.

00:18:40.489 --> 00:18:44.629
Really from like a programming bet, you've had all these massive swings from

00:18:44.629 --> 00:18:49.509
the streamers, like think about Amazon prime paying however many hundreds of

00:18:49.509 --> 00:18:53.089
millions of dollars for the Lord of the Rings series, which to my understanding

00:18:53.089 --> 00:18:54.429
was kind of a flop, right?

00:18:54.469 --> 00:18:58.869
Or you have these like big bets that don't pan out. This guy was saying, Oh,

00:18:59.482 --> 00:19:02.362
Sports is just a bet that always is going to pan out.

00:19:02.502 --> 00:19:06.162
You're almost guaranteed to get the same amount of audience this year as you

00:19:06.162 --> 00:19:08.862
got last year, and you get that same audience next year.

00:19:08.962 --> 00:19:12.362
Maybe it can even grow, but it's basically a sure thing.

00:19:12.682 --> 00:19:17.262
And in this era of these programming hits or misses and trying to get audience

00:19:17.262 --> 00:19:22.022
to retain, sports are better at that than basically any other kind of programming.

00:19:22.162 --> 00:19:25.142
So you have those two things. They're scarce, so they can command high

00:19:25.142 --> 00:19:28.442
prices and they're pretty surefire so

00:19:28.442 --> 00:19:32.002
between those two elements you have this commodity that

00:19:32.002 --> 00:19:34.982
people are clawing over yeah it is

00:19:34.982 --> 00:19:37.762
the type of thing that people who have been trying to put off

00:19:37.762 --> 00:19:40.542
buying a streaming service will go oh damn it

00:19:40.542 --> 00:19:43.242
i have to buy the streaming service now again i go back to the

00:19:43.242 --> 00:19:45.962
peacock nfl playoff example there was a whole load of

00:19:45.962 --> 00:19:48.842
griping before that game and then suddenly a

00:19:48.842 --> 00:19:52.382
load of people signed up to peacock and a bunch of them have stayed um even

00:19:52.382 --> 00:19:55.442
netflix is but stop pretending it's not interested now

00:19:55.442 --> 00:19:58.602
that's right NFL games coming

00:19:58.602 --> 00:20:01.962
to Netflix it's crazy what a world what a

00:20:01.962 --> 00:20:04.762
world you get WWE and the

00:20:04.762 --> 00:20:07.582
NFL on your Netflix what else do

00:20:07.582 --> 00:20:10.542
you want I was just reading something that was so interesting

00:20:10.542 --> 00:20:13.562
to me I mean you were just saying you're going to a baseball game

00:20:13.562 --> 00:20:16.482
uh in the UK which I

00:20:16.482 --> 00:20:20.542
didn't know that was a thing that we're doing the the internationalization of

00:20:20.542 --> 00:20:23.942
some of these sports is being uh really

00:20:23.942 --> 00:20:26.922
expedited by the streaming services

00:20:26.922 --> 00:20:30.002
and the nba has been really great at

00:20:30.002 --> 00:20:33.322
trying to move more into europe move more into south america etc but i think

00:20:33.322 --> 00:20:37.482
in the last two years you've seen the nfl really start to make some big strides

00:20:37.482 --> 00:20:41.842
in that direction as well i think they have three games in london yeah in london

00:20:41.842 --> 00:20:48.002
stadium one at wembley they've got one i think in rio this year oh really i know No,

00:20:48.002 --> 00:20:50.902
there's always games in Germany as well.

00:20:51.662 --> 00:20:55.442
So, and that was, I mean, this is no secret, that is the appeal of a Netflix,

00:20:55.502 --> 00:21:00.842
is that all of a sudden you can be reaching their 200 million plus audience

00:21:00.842 --> 00:21:02.222
across the entire globe.

00:21:02.602 --> 00:21:08.442
And I think that if some of these limited forays into putting sports on streaming

00:21:08.442 --> 00:21:12.442
services are successful, and they have been so far, we're going to see a lot

00:21:12.442 --> 00:21:14.042
more of that in the next few years.

00:21:14.362 --> 00:21:18.042
Was that one of the big talks of what was going on when you were at the App,

00:21:18.062 --> 00:21:22.542
Francis, talk about the value of live sport. Were people still very keen on that?

00:21:23.465 --> 00:21:27.465
Very much so. I mean, there was I mean, and like we were talking about the New

00:21:27.465 --> 00:21:31.345
York Knicks, like the Warner Brothers Discovery presentation was in Madison

00:21:31.345 --> 00:21:36.525
Square Garden the night before the Knicks had played in that stadium and beat

00:21:36.525 --> 00:21:38.185
the team, the Pacers that they were playing.

00:21:38.305 --> 00:21:43.065
And so there was just there's a sports buzz in the city during the week that

00:21:43.065 --> 00:21:47.865
was compounded by the fact that everybody is trying to get their hands on these sports rights.

00:21:47.885 --> 00:21:52.245
You have the NBA saga that's unfolding in real time in front of everybody.

00:21:52.245 --> 00:21:54.245
So it was a major point of conversation.

00:21:54.885 --> 00:22:00.265
And I think, you know, I was rubbing shoulders a lot with sports reporters and

00:22:00.265 --> 00:22:06.245
sports media reporters, which is becoming a really it's expanding as a beat.

00:22:06.985 --> 00:22:10.725
Well, you see John Aranda at Puck, for example. Exactly.

00:22:10.825 --> 00:22:14.545
When we had Adweek, we had a really great reporter who actually left to go fill

00:22:14.545 --> 00:22:18.765
John's position at SBJ. and I was talking with some other sports media reporters.

00:22:18.925 --> 00:22:21.245
It's just another one of those spaces, kind of like entertainment.

00:22:22.545 --> 00:22:27.105
Where it's sort of a consumer-oriented... I mean, now we're getting into inside

00:22:27.105 --> 00:22:29.465
baseball a little bit here, but... Perfect, that's what this show's for.

00:22:30.265 --> 00:22:35.405
That whole beat has just become so much more critical because it's like,

00:22:35.465 --> 00:22:39.245
if you're just an average sports consumer and you just like the Cowboys or you

00:22:39.245 --> 00:22:42.305
like the Pacers or whatever the case is... Sorry, sorry, sorry.

00:22:42.545 --> 00:22:45.245
Mark, Mark, Mark, Mark, Mark, Mark. mark i may be on

00:22:45.245 --> 00:22:48.085
the other side of the Atlantic to you but i know for a fact

00:22:48.085 --> 00:22:54.745
nobody likes the cowboys in Texas a lot of people like the cowboys no no but

00:22:54.745 --> 00:22:59.705
i grant you uh beyond that it's uh less favorable but you you have to have a

00:22:59.705 --> 00:23:03.225
familiarity with the streaming ecosystem nowadays to be able to watch the sporting

00:23:03.225 --> 00:23:06.545
games that you want to watch so what has gone from like a b2b.

00:23:07.525 --> 00:23:11.465
Niche has become of interest to consumers i think you can say the same thing

00:23:11.465 --> 00:23:12.625
with sports media more broadly.

00:23:12.845 --> 00:23:16.885
I never, the normal, a normal person never would have cared about who,

00:23:16.965 --> 00:23:20.725
what company, what holding company owns what streamer and what rights and blah, blah, blah.

00:23:20.805 --> 00:23:23.405
But now you kind of have to be plugged into that if you want to watch the game.

00:23:23.505 --> 00:23:25.805
So yeah, sport is media and media is sport.

00:23:25.945 --> 00:23:31.005
I think that's, it's always been the case, but now it's, it's really undeniable.

00:23:31.185 --> 00:23:34.105
What were the other themes then that you, you came away with?

00:23:34.125 --> 00:23:39.085
You obviously got these big talk, you know, know the tech incursion into media

00:23:39.085 --> 00:23:45.425
you've got as we've just been discussing sport we've got you know ad buyers

00:23:45.425 --> 00:23:49.345
from what i can tell really trying to play a bit hardball now going,

00:23:50.105 --> 00:23:53.045
you need us more than we need you is that a fair impression.

00:23:55.153 --> 00:23:59.973
I think so wait the last part you're saying ad buyers are saying to streamers yeah you need us,

00:24:00.753 --> 00:24:05.833
streamers and the linear channels frankly yeah absolutely i think that's been

00:24:05.833 --> 00:24:08.773
one of the most i was talking about this with a friend the other day one of

00:24:08.773 --> 00:24:10.993
the most like fundamental macro dynamic,

00:24:11.553 --> 00:24:14.813
shifts that's occurred in the last 20 years with the

00:24:14.813 --> 00:24:18.093
advent of the internet is just going from the publishers

00:24:18.093 --> 00:24:21.213
being in the position of power because they owned

00:24:21.213 --> 00:24:24.473
the scarce resource to now the the advertisers being

00:24:24.473 --> 00:24:28.453
in a position of power because ad inventory is infinite

00:24:28.453 --> 00:24:31.293
and so they get to decide where their

00:24:31.293 --> 00:24:34.133
dollar goes and so the publishers whether it's

00:24:34.133 --> 00:24:37.053
television or digital news or whatever the case they're the ones who have to

00:24:37.053 --> 00:24:42.073
kind of make the case to advertisers now that their content and that their audience

00:24:42.073 --> 00:24:49.093
and increasingly that their ad tech capabilities are up to snuff and maybe even

00:24:49.093 --> 00:24:52.353
you know superior to their competitors to draw on some of that

00:24:52.373 --> 00:24:55.753
business so i would say uh another element if you're

00:24:55.753 --> 00:24:58.553
really trying to get into the weeds a little bit of this last

00:24:58.553 --> 00:25:01.453
week that was really interesting is just the uh ad targeting

00:25:01.453 --> 00:25:04.313
capabilities and the ad tech stacks of these streamers

00:25:04.313 --> 00:25:08.953
netflix made some news by saying that they are planning to part ways uh with

00:25:08.953 --> 00:25:13.413
microsoft with whom they'd partnered yes initially to to get their advertising

00:25:13.413 --> 00:25:18.913
huge thing because when the ad tier launched they were like look how great it

00:25:18.913 --> 00:25:23.973
is we're working with Microsoft and it was a big deal for Microsoft to get that deal done.

00:25:25.014 --> 00:25:29.974
As I recall, and now they're parting ways fairly quickly. I was surprised at

00:25:29.974 --> 00:25:31.814
how quickly that came about, if I'm honest with you.

00:25:32.834 --> 00:25:38.054
Yeah, and we actually, I mean, I think he was just kind of blustering a little

00:25:38.054 --> 00:25:40.914
bit, but I was speaking with Ted Sarandos at the Netflix event,

00:25:41.034 --> 00:25:44.154
and he was saying to sort of a small group of reporters. Get that name off the floor, Mark Stenberg.

00:25:45.154 --> 00:25:50.114
He was saying that they were doing this more quickly than they'd expected.

00:25:50.494 --> 00:25:53.434
And, you know, I just think executives love to say like, Like,

00:25:53.494 --> 00:25:57.614
oh, we're actually moving much more quickly than projections would have anticipated.

00:25:57.734 --> 00:26:01.694
But there might be a kernel of truth to it. I think that the ad tier and the

00:26:01.694 --> 00:26:05.534
demand for advertising has ramped up to a degree such that Netflix is like,

00:26:05.614 --> 00:26:09.834
OK, we want to get in the driver's seat now. Like, thanks for teaching us the ropes.

00:26:10.634 --> 00:26:14.714
So that's a big, a big sort of area to watch.

00:26:15.834 --> 00:26:19.694
Additionally, when you're at these upfronts, there's a lot of discussion about

00:26:19.694 --> 00:26:21.114
like the CTV space more broadly.

00:26:21.474 --> 00:26:24.954
How can you do advertising differently? Like what kind of ads does it unlock?

00:26:25.094 --> 00:26:26.354
What kind of tracking does it unlock?

00:26:26.554 --> 00:26:30.434
I think there's conversations about stoppable ads. There's conversations about

00:26:30.434 --> 00:26:34.934
Warner Brothers made a big deal about when theatricals debut on streaming,

00:26:35.014 --> 00:26:38.134
like when Barbie came to Max or when Dune 2 comes to Max,

00:26:38.394 --> 00:26:44.874
they're going to sell those moments as massive marketing opportunities.

00:26:45.874 --> 00:26:49.034
And they're going to kind of position them almost in the same way when a movie

00:26:49.034 --> 00:26:53.474
comes to theaters, almost with the same sort of fanfare as when it comes to a streaming service.

00:26:54.374 --> 00:26:57.614
But no one wants an ad in the middle of a movie, do they?

00:26:58.502 --> 00:27:01.402
Correct. I mean, and that's another thing that was really interesting.

00:27:01.562 --> 00:27:04.202
Even again, at this, I was having conversations with people at Netflix.

00:27:04.702 --> 00:27:09.702
They're still having the challenge of like, how do you naturally insert ads

00:27:09.702 --> 00:27:12.622
into television programs that don't have ad breaks?

00:27:12.962 --> 00:27:15.222
You know what I mean? And like, I don't know if you're like me,

00:27:15.262 --> 00:27:17.642
but I pay for Netflix, so I don't have the ads.

00:27:17.782 --> 00:27:22.022
So I haven't actually witnessed this. But apparently, if you are on the Netflix

00:27:22.022 --> 00:27:27.642
ads here, you'll just be watching a, you know, a back and forth of dialogue and an ad starts.

00:27:27.642 --> 00:27:30.742
You know what i mean so they're trying to make it more natural but there's no

00:27:30.742 --> 00:27:34.222
ad breaks and so there's like a lot of little things like that that are really

00:27:34.222 --> 00:27:39.562
fascinating uh that i think this is a real i'd never thought of that because

00:27:39.562 --> 00:27:43.342
when you're watching shows that are originally on linear tv and then you stream

00:27:43.342 --> 00:27:46.562
them it's always very obvious where the ad break was meant to be.

00:27:47.222 --> 00:27:49.942
And it's actually this is a bit and it you know in

00:27:49.942 --> 00:27:52.662
england we have less ad breaks than the u.s shows

00:27:52.662 --> 00:27:55.382
so like in a half an hour

00:27:55.382 --> 00:27:58.062
episode of friends you can always see where like an extra ad

00:27:58.062 --> 00:28:00.822
break would have been and stuff whatever but yeah that's a

00:28:00.822 --> 00:28:03.682
really interesting thought actually that hadn't occurred to me that actually these shows

00:28:03.682 --> 00:28:06.522
are not written to have natural ad breaks in them so where how do

00:28:06.522 --> 00:28:10.362
you insert an ad particularly programmatically a final

00:28:10.362 --> 00:28:13.502
thing i want to talk about is i want to go back to this idea of youtube because

00:28:13.502 --> 00:28:19.962
youtube um it really kind of encompasses is basically everything we've discussed

00:28:19.962 --> 00:28:26.402
on the show because it had creators turn up at their brand cast event and the

00:28:26.402 --> 00:28:29.942
CEO saying creators should be able to win an Emmy.

00:28:30.642 --> 00:28:33.422
Which is a proper incursion onto traditional TV.

00:28:33.582 --> 00:28:39.462
We had them announcing a deal for the WNBA, which I think is another win for Caitlin Clarke.

00:28:40.882 --> 00:28:46.582
So you and I were saying off air how big a part of all of this women's sport

00:28:46.582 --> 00:28:47.522
is now becoming. coming.

00:28:48.042 --> 00:28:53.462
So to me, that presentation seemed to typify a lot of what was going on in that whole week.

00:28:55.000 --> 00:29:01.240
Yeah, absolutely. I mean, YouTube is remains this hybrid product that has no

00:29:01.240 --> 00:29:04.980
direct analogous competitor.

00:29:05.480 --> 00:29:09.660
And the fact that they're out here saying, you know, I mean,

00:29:09.680 --> 00:29:14.800
it's sometimes it bears repeating that like YouTube is user generated content

00:29:14.800 --> 00:29:21.480
outside of a few panels and they're increasingly trying to, you know,

00:29:21.480 --> 00:29:24.220
cultivate a little bit more of a premium video experience.

00:29:24.220 --> 00:29:26.900
And that means you might have to change the cost structure.

00:29:27.020 --> 00:29:30.600
And anyway, but the idea that they can say,

00:29:30.740 --> 00:29:37.020
you know, so and so in their living room, filming a video essay is as deserving

00:29:37.020 --> 00:29:41.360
of a potential, you know, award nomination as like a television show.

00:29:41.360 --> 00:29:42.980
So it's a bold statement.

00:29:43.100 --> 00:29:48.640
I think it's a direction or it's an indication of the direction that these spaces are headed in.

00:29:48.740 --> 00:29:54.820
But I think you look at these other channels that like all these streaming services

00:29:54.820 --> 00:29:59.180
that started with subscription only and have now bolted on ads.

00:29:59.780 --> 00:30:06.120
I wonder if in any world you see YouTube really start to do the inverse of that.

00:30:06.120 --> 00:30:09.660
I know they have a YouTube subscription package, but to what degree are they

00:30:09.660 --> 00:30:12.320
going to try and really start hammering that home?

00:30:12.420 --> 00:30:16.800
Because everybody else is seeing the economic logic of subscription plus ads,

00:30:16.980 --> 00:30:20.400
whereas a lot of YouTube views, of course, they're not paying for the content.

00:30:20.500 --> 00:30:22.060
So their cost model is different.

00:30:22.340 --> 00:30:25.300
But would they rather have everyone paying for a subscription and have an ad

00:30:25.300 --> 00:30:29.600
on top of that? You know, they've got to keep the creators happy.

00:30:31.160 --> 00:30:35.600
They do. They do. And I think that's harder to do if you're taking a subscription.

00:30:36.040 --> 00:30:39.260
How do you pay that back into the creator economy?

00:30:40.360 --> 00:30:47.780
It's true. Yeah, YouTube is a real dark horse. I feel like sometimes I'm a little skeptical.

00:30:47.840 --> 00:30:56.880
There are a lot of claims that it's sort of the unsung dominant player in the

00:30:56.880 --> 00:31:01.680
streaming ecosystem because of how many people it attracts and whatever the case is.

00:31:02.720 --> 00:31:06.760
I don't know. I mean, I think there's a lot of generational split.

00:31:06.820 --> 00:31:10.520
I don't know of a lot of people over 40 watching YouTube on their television.

00:31:10.680 --> 00:31:12.980
I mean, maybe I'm making that up, right? This is all anecdotal.

00:31:12.980 --> 00:31:17.860
I don't have the numbers to hand, but I would be amazed if you're wrong about that.

00:31:18.600 --> 00:31:26.960
Yeah. But I think it also bears repeating how much for a whole bunch of people YouTube is TV, right?

00:31:27.661 --> 00:31:31.221
Mm-hmm I think both things yeah is it

00:31:31.221 --> 00:31:34.001
tv for you no not particularly I

00:31:34.001 --> 00:31:37.161
mean there are some channels and some creators that I love

00:31:37.161 --> 00:31:44.321
watching and I only tend to watch longer youtube videos on tv so there is that

00:31:44.321 --> 00:31:48.781
and I but it's not my first port of call when I want to sit down and watch something

00:31:48.781 --> 00:31:52.881
but there are a lot there are things that I really do only like to watch on

00:31:52.921 --> 00:31:55.021
the YouTube app, on TV. That's certainly true.

00:31:55.561 --> 00:32:00.001
Well, it's been fascinating. What was your kind of gossipy takeaways from this?

00:32:00.061 --> 00:32:01.821
How did you come away from the week feeling?

00:32:01.981 --> 00:32:04.761
Were you feeling optimistic about the industry you report on?

00:32:04.901 --> 00:32:09.241
Were you feeling that everyone was sort of just trying to have managed decline?

00:32:09.621 --> 00:32:11.721
How are you feeling about it all when you left?

00:32:12.261 --> 00:32:15.741
Yeah, so I'm a generally optimistic person.

00:32:15.801 --> 00:32:18.821
And these were star-studded marketing

00:32:18.821 --> 00:32:22.041
presentations meant to inspire confidence so i

00:32:22.041 --> 00:32:24.821
came away from it maybe drinking the kool-aid a

00:32:24.821 --> 00:32:27.701
little bit and if i were to like make the pitch for the kool-aid

00:32:27.701 --> 00:32:30.901
it would basically go this the world of

00:32:30.901 --> 00:32:35.981
television has like a lot of the world just had one weird year after another

00:32:35.981 --> 00:32:40.381
right and i think there's a lot of sense of last year was the writer's strike

00:32:40.381 --> 00:32:45.081
the year before that was covid the year before that was covid etc etc this was

00:32:45.081 --> 00:32:48.961
kind of the first year where like the all the companies got to put put on proper

00:32:48.961 --> 00:32:50.881
presentations with talent.

00:32:51.221 --> 00:32:54.081
Their production pipelines were up and running.

00:32:55.141 --> 00:32:58.381
There was a sense of like with Warner Brothers Discovery, they merged in 2022.

00:32:59.661 --> 00:33:02.401
2023 was a writer's strike. This is the first year that they really get to.

00:33:02.481 --> 00:33:05.121
So there's a lot of sense of like, this is a sort of,

00:33:05.912 --> 00:33:09.312
almost coming out for these linear channels

00:33:09.312 --> 00:33:12.232
as competitive to streamers and

00:33:12.232 --> 00:33:15.512
there's on the opposite side of the fence streamers coming

00:33:15.512 --> 00:33:18.452
out with ad tiers or whatever and saying we're competitive to

00:33:18.452 --> 00:33:21.252
linear channels so this felt like you could look at the industry

00:33:21.252 --> 00:33:24.852
and and do a fair bit of sky is falling prognostication

00:33:24.852 --> 00:33:32.472
but i think that for me you're starting to see the tectonic plates sort of firm

00:33:32.472 --> 00:33:38.452
and you see who the players are the smaller ones are being subsumed or bundling

00:33:38.452 --> 00:33:44.572
up or dying out and i think for the most part i'm hoping that the next year.

00:33:45.932 --> 00:33:51.992
Sees wins pick up in the sales of all of these companies and i wouldn't be surprised

00:33:51.992 --> 00:33:56.152
if if that uh if we're in an even stronger place next year than we are this

00:33:56.152 --> 00:34:00.192
year well i look forward to that I look forward to your continued optimism.

00:34:00.492 --> 00:34:03.872
I always enjoy having you on the show. Where can people keep up with you?

00:34:04.752 --> 00:34:12.792
You can follow my work at Adweek and you can also find me on LinkedIn and Twitter at Mark Stenberg.

00:34:13.612 --> 00:34:17.132
Great. I'm at Charlotte A. Henry across social media.

00:34:17.952 --> 00:34:21.472
Obviously, I would love you to head over to theedition.net. You can check out

00:34:21.472 --> 00:34:25.712
all the blogging there and of course, sign up to the paid newsletter,

00:34:25.892 --> 00:34:28.672
which makes a huge difference and helps keep the show on the road.

00:34:28.752 --> 00:34:33.752
You can do that directly at newsletter.theedition.net.

00:34:34.092 --> 00:34:37.052
Mark, thank you for coming on once again, and I'll see you all next week.

00:34:37.680 --> 00:34:46.595
Music.

